Thursday 22 May 2008

Tx for trying

Here's why you can win money at poker. This is just a $5 game, but this play wouldn't be out of place at the $10s or $6.5s. I have no read on villain at all.

TEXAS_HOLDEM, NO_LIMIT, T4-68189398-9
played at "Mount Vernon" for USD TC from 2008-05-21 20:44 until 2008-05-21 20:45
Seat 1: reggx ($2,340 in chips)
Seat 2: seppolo27 ($1,445 in chips)
Seat 3: canto xx ($1,610 in chips)
Seat 4: cladius99 ($1,430 in chips)
Seat 5: iren1073 ($1,290 in chips)
Seat 6: inspecteurgg ($1,660 in chips)
Seat 7: godhino2 ($1,160 in chips)
Seat 8: Dr Zen ($1,450 in chips)
Seat 9: Leguy93 ($1,130 in chips)
Seat 10: CANNYBUS ($1,485 in chips)
ANTES/BLINDS
canto xx posts blind ($15), cladius99 posts blind ($30).

PRE-FLOP
iren1073 folds, inspecteurgg folds, godhino2 folds, Dr Zen calls $30, Leguy93 calls $30, CANNYBUS folds, reggx folds, seppolo27 folds, canto xx bets $45, cladius99 folds, Dr Zen calls $30, Leguy93 calls $30.

Limp for set value first time round and no reason not to call the minraise. Why these players make them, I don't know. No one folds and you just end up drawn out on.

FLOP [board cards: 7D 2C 4H ]
canto xx bets $30

Hilarious. Obviously trying to steal it.

Dr Zen bets $100

I make a very small raise. The board is super dry and I have the nuts, but I will get calls from all sorts of hands here, and if canto or the other guy has an overpair, we might get a nice pot here.

Leguy93 calls $100, canto xx folds.

It's impossible to put this guy on a range. He could literally have anything here. You'd consider his most likely hands some sort of OCs, maybe 4x or 2x if he's super bad. He can have a draw, but only 65 is really reasonable here. I guess 86 is also possible if he's superbad.

TURN [board cards: 7D 2C 4H 3H ]
Dr Zen bets $300, Leguy93 calls $300.

I slightly regret my small bet on the flop because 65 has come in. That's only a tiny part of his range though, but his call scares me a little. However, it's quite conceivable that he has Ah2h or 55, something like that. He could also have the underset or an overpair.

RIVER [board cards: 7D 2C 4H 3H QD ]
Dr Zen bets $990 and is all-in, Leguy93 calls $670 and is all-in.

You could make a case for not shoving here. There aren't that many hands you beat that he will call with here: undersets, overpairs to a 7 maybe, twopair hands, some Qx hands. But there also aren't many that beat us: just 65 and A5.

SHOWDOWN
Dr Zen shows [ 7H 7S ]
Leguy93 shows [ 2H JH ]

What. Teh. Fuck.

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