Saturday 3 May 2008

Two outs is more than enough

Same tourney. This is why my results have been so ordinary lately.

PokerStars Game #17158770334: Tournament #86955430, $6.00+$0.50 Hold'em No Limit - Level VIII (200/400) - 2008/05/02 - 20:51:36 (ET)
Table '86955430 1' 9-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 2: FR Vessant (4750 in chips)
Seat 4: wittuz76 (2150 in chips)
Seat 5: ps1west (1298 in chips)
Seat 6: Beefy Lad (2455 in chips)
Seat 8: wellunger (670 in chips)
Seat 9: EVIL E2612 (2177 in chips)
FR Vessant: posts the ante 25
wittuz76: posts the ante 25
ps1west: posts the ante 25
Beefy Lad: posts the ante 25
wellunger: posts the ante 25
EVIL E2612: posts the ante 25
Beefy Lad: posts small blind 200
wellunger: posts big blind 400
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to FR Vessant [Qs Qc]
EVIL E2612: folds
FR Vessant: raises 4325 to 4725 and is all-in

No need for anything fancy. They're short enough to call with wide enough ranges to make inducing a shove unnecessary.

wittuz76: folds
ps1west: calls 1273 and is all-in

A terrible call. He has KJ.

Beefy Lad: folds
wellunger: calls 245 and is all-in

And so does he.

*** FLOP *** [2d 8d Jh]

Well that's not good but at least it's not a


*** TURN *** [2d 8d Jh] [Kc]

Oh dear.

I was a 4/1 favourite before the flop and nearly 6/1 after it.

But there's no lesson to be learned here. Bad players make bad calls and get lucky sometimes. Because they are taking bad odds, their luck will run out. And of course for both these guys it did run out.

I did learn something from this tourney though. I haven't been going well in the money, particularly heads up, and I got to HU with 3K. In a regular, the blinds are usually low enough for me to outplay the other guy. But I was card dead and panicked, calling a push for 3ishK with T9o. The other guy's QJ held up. The lesson learned is that you are going to feel a lot worse getting it in behind and realising you shouldn't have than you would if you made the right play and it didn't work out.

1 comment:

Father Luke said...

The lesson learned is that you are going to feel a lot worse getting it in behind and realising you shouldn't have than you would if you made the right play and it didn't work out.

There is a difference, yes.

Like... when watching the beginning
of a tourney, and folding "iffy"
hands, and watching all the bad
players being eliminated and
remaining to play the final rounds.